Even as they killed the foreigners

Jul 3rd, 2016 10:50 am | By

The murderers at the Holey Artisan Bakery wanted to get famous.

Sumir Barai was hiding in the washroom when one of the gunmen shouted “Bengali people, come out.”

“You don’t need to be so tense,” one of the men told them. “We will not kill Bengalis. We will only kill foreigners.” At that, Mr. Barai’s gaze flicked to the floor of the restaurant, where he could see six or seven bodies, apparently shot and then sliced with machetes. All appeared to be foreigners.

The gunmen, he said, seemed eager to see their actions amplified on social media: After killing the patrons, they asked the staff to turn on the restaurant’s wireless network. Then they used customers’ telephones to post images of the bodies on the internet.

That’s a pretty detail, isn’t it? Murder as photo op? I bet the guys who knocked down the World Trade Center wished they could see themselves on tv afterwards – or maybe they thought they would see themselves on tv afterwards, with Mohammed patting them approvingly on the shoulder.

Even as they killed the foreigners, the attackers were unfailingly polite and solicitous with the restaurant staff and other Bangladeshis, Mr. Barai said.

They took the staff into their confidence, complaining that foreigners, with their skimpy clothes and taste for alcohol, were impeding the spread of Islam. “Their lifestyle is encouraging local people to do the same thing,” a militant said.

Hey here’s an idea – why don’t those guys and the post-Brexit foreigner-haters get together and build their own foreigner-free utopia? They have so much in common, despite the differences in religion and language and fashion.

Mr. Barai recalls being puzzled by the attackers, who spoke cosmopolitan Bengali, and even some English, when conversing with the foreigners.

“They were all smart and handsome and educated,” he said. “If you look at those guys, nobody could believe they could do this.” In the predawn hours, the militants lectured their captives on religious practices, instructing the kitchen staff to say regular prayers and study the Quran.

Early in the morning, the gunmen released a group of women wearing hijabs and offered a young Bangladeshi man, Faraz Hossain, the opportunity to leave, too, said Hishaam Hossain, Mr. Hossain’s nephew, who had heard an account from the hostages who were freed.

Mr. Hossain, a student at Emory University, was accompanied by two women wearing Western clothes, however, and when the gunmen asked the women where they were from, they said India and the United States. The gunmen refused to release them, and Mr. Hossain refused to leave them behind, his relative said. He would be among those found dead on Saturday morning.

Murdered by men who were all smart and handsome and educated.



The trouble is the clock says 1931

Jul 2nd, 2016 6:07 pm | By

George Szirtes comments on Brexit xenophobia. He’s an immigrant himself, one who has lived in the UK for 60 years. (What happened in Hungary in 1956? You know.)

It is not as if the xenophobia that so influenced the leave campaign as it moved from economics to immigration did not exist before – it exists everywhere and often in more virulent form. Indeed, it set the stage for the campaign, and those who had muttered in the wings were encouraged to come out and occupy it. The filthy messages to Poles, the graffiti on public buildings, are part of the same spectrum that saw the hooligans on a tram in Manchester threaten a man with the words: “You’re a fucking immigrant. Get off this tram.” And: “Immigrants get deported!”

And such things resonate well beyond these shores. There are plenty of politicians just waiting to echo the cry, Marine Le Pen and Geert Wilders most overtly. Some, like Viktor Orbán in Hungary would simply ban immigrants getting on Hungarian trams in the first place.

I sometimes think – and am not alone in thinking – that we are turning the clock back and have been doing so for some time, that everywhere in Europe and the United States, and in Russia, indeed worldwide, people are busily turning clocks back. They think they are returning to a golden age when everything was better. The trouble is the clock says 1931, maybe even 1932.

That’s certainly what I keep thinking. Don’t people know how this went then? Do they really want that all over again?

There is generosity in this country. We are generous with little lies and have been suspicious of bigger ones but swallowed a few whoppers in this referendum campaign. It has been a filthy war if a phony one. Some are already retreating on their claims about the economy and about the procedures that will lead us back to those famous sunlit uplands.

Big lies work. States are fragile fabrics. We are more fragile at this point than at any time in my life here. As is Europe, partly because of us.

Big lies do work. They work for Trump and they worked for Brexit. Bad times.



The discomfort

Jul 2nd, 2016 5:00 pm | By

And speaking of the need to talk about racism and hatred and what they lead to, the NY Times takes us back to the days when Donald Trump was busy being a birther. I remember those days, and I remember rolling my eyes and paying no further attention, because who the hell cares what Donald Trump says about anything? Remember that innocent time? I still think it’s a waste of life to pay any attention to him, of course, but now we’ve been forced to, by gullible people who think he’s interesting and correct.

In the birther movement, Mr. Trump recognized an opportunity to connect with the electorate over an issue many considered taboo: the discomfort, in some quarters of American society, with the election of the nation’s first black president. He harnessed it for political gain, beginning his connection with the largely white Republican base that, in his 2016 campaign, helped clinch his party’s nomination.

In other words he used racism to make himself a candidate popular with racists. He’s a terrible human being.

And starting in March 2011, when he first began to test the idea that a reality television star with no political experience could mount a campaign for the presidency, Mr. Trump could not stop talking about it.

“Why doesn’t he show his birth certificate?” he asked on ABC’s “The View.” “I want to see his birth certificate,” he told Fox News’s “On the Record.” And on NBC’s “Today Show,” he declared, “I’m starting to think that he was not born here.”

The more Mr. Trump questioned the legitimacy of Mr. Obama’s presidency, the better he performed in the early polls of the 2012 Republican field, springing from fifth place to a virtual tie for first.

In other words he peddled a stupid, malicious, racist lie for the sake of his own greedy ambitions, and the major media helped him do it.

Now, Mr. Trump almost assiduously refuses to discuss the topic, which, according to several people close to him, was always more about political performance art than ideology.

“I don’t talk about that anymore,” Mr. Trump told the MSNBC host Chris Matthews after a Republican debate last year.

Raising questions about the president’s birth certificate — and even threatening to send a team of investigators to Hawaii — had served its purpose, raising Mr. Trump’s political profile and, whether he knew it or not at the time, providing him with the rudimentary foundation upon which he built his 2016 campaign.

He even skirted close to birther innuendo after the massacre in Orlando, Fla., last month, calling in to “Fox & Friends” to insinuate that Mr. Obama might sympathize with Islamic extremists. “He doesn’t get it or he gets it better than anybody understands,” Mr. Trump said.

Anybody got a copy of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion to send him?



Elie Wiesel

Jul 2nd, 2016 4:02 pm | By

Joseph Berger writes about Elie Wiesel.

Mr. Wiesel was the author of several dozen books and was a charismatic lecturer and humanities professor. In 1986, he was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. But he was defined not so much by the work he did as by the gaping void he filled. In the aftermath of the Germans’ systematic massacre of Jews, no voice had emerged to drive home the enormity of what had happened and how it had changed mankind’s conception of itself and of God. For almost two decades, both the traumatized survivors and American Jews, guilt-ridden that they had not done more to rescue their brethren, seemed frozen in silence.

But by the sheer force of his personality and his gift for the haunting phrase, Mr. Wiesel, who had been liberated from Buchenwald as a 16-year-old with the indelible tattoo A-7713 on his arm, gradually exhumed the Holocaust from the burial ground of the history books.

It was this speaking out against forgetfulness and violence that the Nobel committee recognized when it awarded him the peace prize in 1986.

It sometimes seems to me it’s the only thing there is to write about. It keeps happening, and when it happens it ruins everything, so until it stops happening…how can we not keep talking about it?

While many of his books were nominally about topics like Soviet Jewry or Hasidic masters, they all dealt with profound questions resonating out of the Holocaust: What is the sense of living in a universe that tolerates unimaginable cruelty? How could the world have been mute? How can one go on believing? Mr. Wiesel asked the questions in spare prose and without raising his voice; he rarely offered answers.

“If I survived, it must be for some reason,” he told Michiko Kakutani of The New York Times in an interview in 1981. “I must do something with my life. It is too serious to play games with anymore, because in my place, someone else could have been saved. And so I speak for that person. On the other hand, I know I cannot.”

He did do something with his life.



Anyone who was unable to recite the Koran

Jul 2nd, 2016 10:13 am | By

The BBC reports that 20 people have been killed in the Bangladesh attack. Tasneem Khalil said an hour ago that a new ISIS statement puts the figure at 22 “crusaders” and 2 police officers.

More from the Beeb:

At least nine Italians and seven Japanese were among those killed.

Italy’s Foreign Minister Paolo Gentiloni said one other Italian was still unaccounted for. Many of the Italians reportedly worked in the garment industry.

Japan said eight of its nationals were in the cafe. One was among 13 people rescued but the other seven died.

All were consultants for Japan’s foreign aid agency and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said they “were giving their all for the development of Bangladesh”.

The army had initially said all hostages killed were foreigners, but later reports said some Bangladeshis also died.

But apparently they were “crusaders” too.

Bangladesh’s Daily Star newspaper said the gunmen tortured anyone who was unable to recite the Koran. They provided meals overnight for only the Bangladeshi captives, it said.

“It was an extremely heinous act,” Ms Hasina said in a televised statement. “What kind of Muslims are these people? They don’t have any religion.”

Yes they do. Religion isn’t another word for kindness or mercy or treating people decently. People take from religion what they want to take, and that means that people who love violence and cruelty look for that in their religion, and they can always find it. People who love kindness find that in their religion, and people who love hatred and cruelty find that.

The BBC’s Sanjoy Majumder at the scene:

The Holey Artisan Bakery is known as a bustling cafe popular with expats and wealthy locals.

“There is an open-air terrace overlooking a lake,” Dhaka Mayor Annisul Huq tells me.

“That’s why it was so popular. It was so serene. I can’t believe that this has happened to my Dhaka, I simply cannot.”

But it’s happened in Dhaka before. Ahmed Rajib Haider was stabbed to death in Dhaka. Avijit Roy was hacked to death with machetes in Dhaka. Oyasiqur Rhaman was hacked to death with machetes in Dhaka. Niloy Neel was hacked to death with machetes in Dhaka. Faisal Arefin Dipan was hacked to death with machetes in Dhaka. This is a thing that has been happening in Dhaka and elsewhere in Bangladesh all too often.

The attack began when eight or nine armed men burst into the cafe at about 21:20 (15:20 GMT) on Friday and opened fire.

Media reports quoted witnesses as saying that they shouted “Allahu Akbar”, meaning “God is great”.

That’s what I mean about religion. “God is great” means different things to different people. To some it means “God is great and wants you to be kind and generous and helpful.” To others it means “God is great and you people are vermin that need to be eradicated.”



Safety in numbers

Jul 1st, 2016 5:57 pm | By

One thing you can do is wear a safety pin.

The National Police Chiefs’ Council said on Monday there had been a 57 per cent rise in reports to an online hate crime reporting sitebetween Thursday and Sunday compared to a month ago.

The majority of attacks appear to be aimed at immigrants, or people perceived to be immigrants, and are along the lines of “We voted Leave, you’re going home”.

Like many people, Allison, an American woman living in London, toldindy100 she was dismayed by the outpouring of racist abuse following the Leave vote. But she’s also come up with a clever way to tackle it.

She’s started a new campaign asking people to wear an empty safety pin as a badge to symbolise solidarity against racism – and let any potential targets know that the wearer is a friendly face.

It’s a good idea.

Wikimedia Commons

 



1293 words

Jul 1st, 2016 4:10 pm | By

Kirsty Hall has a stunningly good post on Brexit that tells me many things I didn’t know – in particular, how short the notice was and how horrifyingly inadequate the necessary informing of the voter was. Basically she says Cameron did this for his own selfish short-sighted political reasons, blithely assuming Leave would fail, and he did nothing whatever to prevent the Leave win or to prepare the country for that outcome. The Scottish referendum, she says, was far more carefully planned and executed.

But then Brexit was never about the whole of the UK and Gibraltar examining the issues and deciding what was best.

Because you simply cannot drill down into such a complex issue in that short amount of time. It is impossible.

And that is why such vitally important issues like what would happen to the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland in the event of Brexit were simply glossed over and ignored. No one had the time to process how things would actually WORK. There was no time to go over the details with a fine-toothed comb.

Over and over I heard from undecided people, ‘why are we being asked this, I don’t feel like I know enough about it, it’s all so complicated, how on earth do I decide what’s best?’

Nobody bothered to give the details.

During the Scottish independence referendum, the Scottish SNP government published Scotland’s Future, a document laying out how an independent Scotland would work and addressing issues such as finance, the EU, currency and other issues.

It was a 670 page document and published a whole 10 MONTHS before the referendum and it was meticulously analysed point-by-point by both voters and the press. It was very thoroughly put under the microscope and in the end found slightly wanting, mostly on the issues of currency and the ability of an independent Scotland to retain membership of the EU.

It was made abundantly clear to voters that it was a big decision and if they were going to vote for Yes For Change and risk destabilising their country, they had better be very sure.

In contrast, the Vote Leave campaign published one 16 page pdf manifesto on their website. Did you read it? I never even heard about it.

16 pages obviously isn’t nearly as many as 670, so clearly it wasn’t going to be as detailed as the Scottish document.

Then I looked at the thing and it’s all in VERY. BIG. WRITING. So I downloaded it. There are 1293 words in the entire document. That’s it. That’s all.

Wow. 1300 words. That’s column-length. That’s a fraction of a chapter of a book. That’s small.

There’s nothing in it, she says. It’s just assertions and buzzwords, no real information.

In my view, voters were extremely short-changed in being given the tools to understand what Brexit would mean for them and their lives.

Of course it didn’t help that whenever possible consequences were brought up, the Leave campaign screamed ‘scaremongering’.

But they were able to get away with that lousy behaviour because there wasn’t time to ask the hard questions. The press couldn’t ask for clarification over and over again as happened during the Scottish independence referendum. There was no time to dig.

Farage, Johnson and Gove were never held over the coals by a press demanding a detailed and comprehensive Brexit plan as the SNP government were during Indyref. It there had been time for that, it would have certainly quickly become apparent that there was no plan and that it was all smoke and mirrors.

Because there was no real Leave Brexit plan other than, ‘right, that’s it, we’re off!’ — a fact that has been made abundantly clear since Friday.

Honestly, I thought it was only the US that did things that irresponsibly.

There was also no plan for Brexit from the Remain side because this was simply never supposed to happen. David Cameron very clearly expected the country to simply rubberstamp a Remain vote.

He called this referendum for his own political advantage within the Conservative party. It was never about what was best for Britain and always about what was best for David Cameron and his control of the Conservative party.

He thought he’d found a clever way to shut up the bothersome Eurosceptics. Have a referendum, win, then forever be able to tell them, ‘oh too bad, so sad, the people have decided’ — boom, job’s a good ‘un.

The only plan was to win and then briskly move on.

5 minutes in the Commons — ‘you’ve all had your say, best thing for Britain but jolly good show and well done all, next business please.’

If you think that’s just my opinion, this is a quote from the Independent newspaper:

“In the words of his biographers Anthony Seldon and Peter Snowdon, the Prime Minister had three objectives when he called this vote: “to pacify Eurosceptic critics, neutralise UKIP, and take the EU off the front pages”.”

It was never about you or your country.

And then there’s the fact that they’re all going off on holiday in a few days.

I am putting the blame firmly back where it belongs. On David Cameron and the Tory party for agreeing to this sham of a referendum in the first place and then executing it so badly and with such undue haste.

They ran it with the same blithe, unthinking, patrician arrogance that made them call it in the first place. Anyone who made the decision to call the referendum and then to run it in such a ludicrously short period of time is not fit to serve in public office in this country and they should hang their heads in shame. They ran a referendum under false premises and defrauded the public.

When they decided that a hastily called and badly organised referendum would shut up the Eurosceptics and scupper UKIP, the Conservatives did not care one whit about the possible outcomes for Britain of an actual Brexit. Which is why none of the potentially devastating issues were as deeply and rigorously explored as they should have been. Issues like the effects on medical research, university education, our economy, our standing in the world or the potentially difficult political situations that could result in Scotland, Northern Ireland and Gibraltar.

What does all that matter compared to David Cameron’s career?

And then the first comment, by John Farndon, is a real smack in the eye:

You’ve hit the nail on the head, Kirsty. About the process, you’ll be equally appalled (but not surprised) to know that this referendum broke the EU guidelines on referendums which the UK signed up to in Venice in 2007 on three key counts.
1) Governments are explicitly instructed to provide detail information laying out all the implications of the vote in full detail long before campaigning begins, so that voters know fully what they’re voting for. This should be in all official languages plus all significant minority languages. This is not a matter of whim but a key requirement.
2) In a referendum initiated by the executive (ie the government), Parliament must make it absolutely clear well in advance the course of action it recommends to the public. Since 500 out of 650 MPs were in favour of remain, it should have been clear what they recommended.
3) The government must also make it very clear to the public whether the result is legally binding or simply consultative. Because they failed to do this, there was massive confusion, with many people voting ‘leave’ just as a protest, safe in the belief that it would never actually happen. And now they say they cannot reject the verdict because many people believed it was binding and it would be wrong to deny the ‘will of the people’ which it clearly isn’t. !!!

You are absolutely right to castigate Cameron for his appalling overconfidence and chicanery in setting this referendum up so badly. But where was Parliament, where were the civil servants and legal advisors who must know all this better than me — who should have been there when the bill went through, when Cameron announced it, etc. Where was even the parliamentary committee which should have overseen this, the biggest single vote in recent British history? Parliament as a whole and its legal advisers have been so negligent it takes one’s breath away.

And now they are walking away from the calamity, washing their hands and saying, “Oh well, the people have spoken. It’s not our fault if it all comes crashing down.” Well, yes, it is. Parliament’s entirely. We expect our elected representatives to guide us in the right direction — which they utterly failed to do.

It’s a horror show.



Austerity and gentrification

Jul 1st, 2016 3:04 pm | By

A London council sticks a feminist library with a massive rise in rent. Emma Thatcher, a volunteer at the library, tells the story.

For more than 30 years the Feminist Library has had a home in Southwark, London; now we face eviction by the council. Seemingly, this is because the council wants to maximise profits at the expense of culture, history and community.

The library collection was started by a group of volunteers in 1975 and documents the women’s liberation movement – not just in the UK but internationally – in all its inspiring, messy, complex glory. It inspires me every day to understand how women before us have come together to fight for social change, share knowledge, and support each other.

They visit schools and host public events.

But this one-of-a-kind library is now under threat from market forces. In December last year we were shocked to receive a notice increasing our rent and service charges from £12,000 to a total of £30,000 per annum. We wrote to Southwark council asking that they work with us to implement this increase gradually, giving us a chance to up our fundraising. They refused to negotiate or even meet with us, meaning that we were faced with eviction on 1 March – ironically the first day of Women’s History Month.

In response we launched an emergency campaign, with a petition that received 15,000 signatures in its first week. Supporters gathered for a “read-in” – reading texts of feminist classics outside Southwark council’s budget-setting meeting.

As a result, Southwark council gave us a six-month extension; we now have until the end of October to find a new home. The council has been forced to offer us some support – but they have made it clear this is help to leave, not help to stay, and that any tenancy they give us will treat us as commercial tenants, subject to market rent and with no protection against any increase this entails.

The building was given to the council by the GLC (the Greater London Council) in 1984 for ethnic groups and anti-racism initiatives.

We are now calling on the council to respect women’s history and help the library find a new, affordable home. In February 2016 Southwark pledged to support the community and cultural heritage in their New Voluntary Sector Strategy. This paper “highlights the need for a thriving voluntary and community sector that mobilises community action and makes best use of community resources, skills, knowledge and spaces”. We cannot understand how their treatment of the Feminist Library is consistent with approving this report.

The move by the council is part of a process of gentrification in the borough – notably with the nearby Elephant Park development and the destruction of the Heygate and Aylesbury estates – and in the wider city, where many other organisations have been forced out of their premises to make way for luxury flats, shops and bars.

Boo on Southwark council.

For more information about the library’s fundraising efforts click here.

I hope the library can survive.



Solitary splendour

Jul 1st, 2016 2:17 pm | By

Charlie Hebdo on Brexit:

 



The latest of dozens

Jul 1st, 2016 12:07 pm | By

Bangladesh is being torn to pieces some more today.

A Hindu temple worker has been killed by three men on a motorcycle, local police have said, the latest of dozens of brutal attacks in Bangladesh.

Shaymanonda Das was preparing for morning prayers at a temple in the south-western district of Jhenaidah when he was attacked.

Police said he was hacked on the neck several times with machetes.

Meanwhile in Dhaka:

Gunmen have stormed a popular cafe in the diplomatic area of the Bangladeshi capital, Dhaka, taking a number of hostages, officials say.

Several foreigners are among those being held by eight or nine men in the city’s Gulshan district, they add.

A police officer has been killed and at least five others injured in a gun battle, a spokesman said.



At other times, people are polite and rub along

Jul 1st, 2016 11:34 am | By

The Guardian a couple of days ago on the frenzy of hatred after Brexit:

True Vision, a police-funded hate-crime-reporting website, has seen a 57% increase in reportingbetween Thursday and Sunday, compared with the same period last month. This is not a definitive national figure – reports are also made directly to police stations and community groups – but Stop Hate UK, a reporting charity, has also seen an increase, while Tell Mama, an organisation tackling Islamophobia anti-Muslim hatred, which usually deals with 40-45 reports a month, received 33 within 48-72 hours.

In Great Yarmouth, Colin Goffin, who is vice-principal of an educational trust, was told about taunts and jeers being directed at eastern European workers by 10am on Friday morning – just hours after the results of the referendum had been announced. Goffin went to see a Kosovan-born friend, the manager of a car wash, to discuss the vote. In the Norfolk coastal town, 72% had voted to leave.

“I wanted him to know that I didn’t agree with the decision, or the way that the issue of immigration had been used in the campaign,” Goffin says. But when he arrived, the abuse against the multinational staff had already begun. “He told me people were slowing down to laugh at his staff, wave and mouth ‘goodbye’,” Goffin says. “They had clearly not wasted any time in deciding to be hateful.”

It’s “community cohesion” in action.

Reports of xenophobia and racism have piled up in the media: the firebombing of a halal butchers in Walsall, graffiti on a Polish community centre in London and laminated cards reading: “No more Polish vermin” apparently posted through letterboxes in Huntingdon. Asked about the rise in hate crimes during PMQs on Wednesday, David Cameron said the government would be publishing a hate-crime action plan.

You see why I object to the word “vermin” in party rhetoric? You see why I do not give a flying fuck that Nye Bevan said it in 1948? Or rather that I do give a flying fuck, and think he was wrong to do so, and that no one should cite his example as if that made it ok. “Vermin” is genocidal language.

Why this sudden explosion? Paul Bagguley, a sociologist based at the University of Leeds, points to the gleeful tone of the racism: “There is a kind of celebration going on; it’s a celebratory racism.” With immigration cited in polls as the second most common reason in voting for Brexit, “people are expressing a sense of power and success, that they have won,” he says.

“People haven’t changed. I would argue the country splits into two-thirds to three-quarters of people being tolerant and a quarter to a third being intolerant. And a section of that third have become emboldened. At other times, people are polite and rub along.”

In other words the racists are mostly “silenced” – and that’s a good thing.

Bagguley says that what makes the recent attacks unusual is who they are directed at. Central to the anti-EU discourse in the media over the past decade has been a sense of British people being fundamentally different from Europeans. As Scottish politics and identity moved in a new direction, this mutated into a white English nationalism “that has a resonance with racial ways of thinking”, he says.

“This has been the bedrock and basis for this xenophobia, directed at everybody who is a little different. It is unlike the backlash after terrorist attacks, which targeted Irish people in the 70s, or Muslims and those thought to be Muslims, more recently. It is a very generalised kind of racism oriented against any groups perceived not to be in that narrow category of white English identity.”

Of course. You have Britain, and The Continong. Proper people, and bloody foreigners. Us, and the barbarians. The plucky little island, and that mongrel colony over there.

Woolley is clear, as is Tell Mama, that hate crimes have never gone away. Tell Mama’s annual report, released on Wednesday, states that anti-Muslim hatred reported to them rose by a staggering 326% in 2015. Women, especially those who wear hijabs or niqabs, bear the brunt of this. Hope Not Hate points out that it has been arguing for some time that far-right extremism is not getting the attention it deserves. Yet the Brexit-inspired racism seems slightly different in that slurs are focused on ethnicity over religion.

For the moment. The focus can shift back and forth according to what’s in the news, but there’s always someone to hate.



What Farage thinks he knows

Jul 1st, 2016 9:30 am | By

Take that, Nigel Farage, you smug ignorant git.

https://instagram.com/p/BHPlTPIBAEk/

H/t David Colquhoun



Management can get things wrong

Jun 30th, 2016 6:02 pm | By

For some reason I’ve been thinking about bad management decisions and when employees get to “disobey” management. One of the classic examples of recent times was NASA managment’s overruling of the Morton Thiokol engineers who told them that the O rings wouldn’t work in cold weather. I went looking and found a post I wrote on the subject back in January 2007.

A remark in Thomas Kida’s splendid book Don’t Believe Everything You Think (Prometheus) snagged my attention yesterday. Page 193:

However, overconfidence can also cause catastrophic results. Before the space shuttle Challenger exploded, NASA estimated the probability of a catastrophe to be one in one hundred thousand launches.

What?! thought I. They did!?! They can’t have! Can they? I was staggered at the idea, for many reasons. One, NASA is run by science types, it’s packed to the rafters with engineers, it couldn’t be so off. Two, I remember a lot of talk – after the explosion, to be sure – about the fact that everyone at NASA, emphatically including all astronauts, knows and has always known that the space shuttle is extremely risky. Three, the reasons the shuttle is extremely and obviously risky were also widely canvassed: a launch is a controlled explosion and the shuttle is sitting on top of tons of highly volatile fuel. Four, a mere drive in a car is a hell of a lot riskier than a one in one hundred thousand chance, so how could the shuttle possibly be less risky?

There was no footnote for that particular item, so I found Kida’s email address and asked him if he could remember where he found it. He couldn’t, but he very very kindly looked through his sources and found it: it’s in a book which in turn cites an article by Richard Feynman in Physics Today. I knew Feynman had written about the Challenger and NASA, but no details. The article is not online, but there is interesting stuff at Wikipedia – interesting, useful, and absolutely mind-boggling. They can have, they did. Just for one thing, my ‘One’ was wrong – NASA is apparently not run by science types, it’s run by run things types. Well silly me, thinking they’d want experts running it.

Feynman was requested to serve on the Presidential Rogers Commission which investigated the Challenger disaster of 1986. Feynman devoted the latter half of his book What Do You Care What Other People Think? to his experience on the Rogers Commission…Feynman’s account reveals a disconnect between NASA’s engineers and executives that was far more striking than he expected. His interviews of NASA’s high-ranking managers revealed startling misunderstandings of elementary concepts. In one example, early stress tests resulted in some of the booster rocket’s O-rings cracking a third of the way through. NASA managers recorded that this result demonstrated that the O-rings had a “safety factor” of 3, based on the 1/3 penetration of the crack. Feynman incredulously explains the gravity of this error: a “safety factor” refers to the practice of building an object to be capable of withstanding more force than it will ever conceivably be subjected to. To paraphrase Feynman’s example, if engineers built a bridge that could bear 3,000 pounds without any damage, even though it was never expected to bear more than 1,000 pounds in practice, the safety factor would be 3. If, however, a truck drove across the bridge and it cracked at all, the safety factor is now zero: the bridge is defective. Feynman was clearly disturbed by the fact that NASA management not only misunderstood this concept, but in fact inverted it by using a term denoting an extra level of safety to describe a part that was actually defective and unsafe.

Christ almighty.

Feynman continued to investigate the lack of communication between NASA’s management and its engineers and was struck by the management’s claim that the risk of catastrophic malfunction on the shuttle was 1 in 10^5; i.e., 1 in 100,000…Feynman was bothered not just by this sloppy science but by the fact that NASA claimed that the risk of catastrophic failure was “necessarily” 1 in 10^5. As the figure itself was beyond belief, Feynman questioned exactly what “necessarily” meant in this context – did it mean that the figure followed logically from other calculations, or did it reflect NASA management’s desire to make the numbers fit? Feynman…decided to poll the engineers themselves, asking them to write down an anonymous estimate of the odds of shuttle explosion. Feynman found that the bulk of the engineers’ estimates fell between 1 in 50 and 1 in 100. Not only did this confirm that NASA management had clearly failed to communicate with their own engineers, but the disparity engaged Feynman’s emotions…he was clearly upset that NASA presented its clearly fantastical figures as fact to convince a member of the laity, schoolteacher Christa McCauliffe, to join the crew.

That’s one of the most off the charts examples of wishful thinking in action I’ve ever seen.

After writing that post I read Feynman’s report. It’s a great, educational read.

Read Appendix F.

It appears that there are enormous differences of opinion as to the
probability of a failure with loss of vehicle and of human life. The
estimates range from roughly 1 in 100 to 1 in 100,000. The higher
figures come from the working engineers, and the very low figures from
management. What are the causes and consequences of this lack of
agreement? Since 1 part in 100,000 would imply that one could put a
Shuttle up each day for 300 years expecting to lose only one, we could
properly ask “What is the cause of management’s fantastic faith in the
machinery?”

What indeed?

Management is not always right. Sometimes in an emergency an employee will have better information. Sometimes in an emergency an employee has to do the right thing as opposed to obeying a supervisor.



The husband is the only one who has a head

Jun 30th, 2016 4:53 pm | By

Another in the continuing series, Weird Bullshit From Religious Fanatics Who Think They Need to Tell Everyone How to Live: meet Fix the Family.

It has a blog. The blog has a picture.

What do they tell us? It’s pretty simple really. Man the boss. Woman the obeyer. The end.

Here’s their most recent post, which claims to be about American Catholic Marxism. It’s a transcript of a guy talking, and I’m not going to watch that. There’s a limit.

Hello, everyone, and welcome back to Fix the Family. My name is Raylan Alleman, and we are bringing you truth without compromise for the family. Welcome to our blog edition. A little Quick Fix for you, the unplugged edition of Fix the Family here on this May 26, 2016. And if you’ve followed us for the past six years or so you realize that the crux of our message pretty much is that God has a design for the family.  And that is a traditional lifestyle of the traditional roles of male and female, the husband being the head and the wife being the heart, and she is submissive to him, and the whole matter of the mother raising her own children and all those things.  When we follow that design, it’s just amazing. We have so many families we know across a wide spectrum of people, that when you follow that design, you’re going to have some good success. And whenever you decide to go opposite, you’re going to have some problems, pretty much no matter who you are or what financial class you’re in or any of those things.

So simple. So easy. Let the man be the boss and everything will be perfect. Fall down on letting the man be the boss and everything goes wrong.

Amen.



Details proving even more elusive than unicorn

Jun 30th, 2016 1:10 pm | By

I’m still trying to figure out exactly what the Momentum guy said in the Q&A that prompted Ruth Smeeth to say “How dare you?!” and a few seconds later walk out. There are videos but all the ones I’ve seen start with her “How dare you” so you don’t get what the guy said. Like this one for example.

https://youtu.be/IPt6vfBzqF0

It’s not that I think anyone’s lying, it’s that I can’t find the details. The reporting is frankly rather muddled.

A tweet by a Telegraph journalist who was there (and who is on video asking the Momentum guy if he’s going to apologize) helps some:

Then Momentum man gets Q, accuses @RuthSmeeth of colluding with Telegraph journo (me) despite Corbyn warning that Jewish/media tropes banned

So I guess Momentum guy claimed that Ruth Smeeth was colluding with Telegraph reporter Kate McCann in…anti-Corbyn reporting? Something like that? And it’s an anti-Semitic dog whistle?

I suspect it’s a lot more recognizable to people who’ve been closely following the controversies around Corbyn than it is to me.

Updating to add: someone I know was there and says Momentum guy suggested she was in cahoots with the Telegraph journalist in a ‘we know what’s going on’ way and that people were shouting at him in response (which you can hear in some of the videos – the shouting starts before Smeeth says “How dare you!”).



The promised unicorn has been delayed

Jun 30th, 2016 12:26 pm | By

Helen Lewis delicately points out that marketers of quack remedies aren’t allowed to tell lies but marketers of quack politicians and quack policies are.

If there is one sentence that explains the referendum result, though, it’s this one from the website of the Advertising Standards Agency. “For reasons of freedom of speech, we do not have remit over non-broadcast ads where the purpose of the ad is to persuade voters in a local, national or international electoral referendum.” In other words, political advertising is exempt from the regulation that would otherwise bar false claims and outrageous promises. You can’t claim that a herbal diet drink will make customers thinner, but you can claim that £350m a week will go to the NHS instead of the European Union.

You can see why that is, but all the same it can be infuriating.

It was noticeable how quickly the twin planks of the Leave campaign – extra money for the health service, and the implicit promise to cut immigration by “taking back control” of our borders – fell apart. On Good Morning Britain just hours after the result was declared, Nigel Farage decried the NHS pledge as a “mistake” (he was not part of the official Leave campaign that made it).

The first few days after the referendum felt like an extended period of gaslighting – being told that things you could distinctly remember happening had not, in fact, happened. How could anyone think that the Leave campaign had promised an extra £350m for the NHS? The money was “an extrapolation . . . never total”, said Iain Duncan Smith on the BBC. It was merely part of a “series of possibilities of what you could do”. My eyes flicked from his pious face to Twitter, where someone had posted a picture of him standing next to the campaign bus. Its slogan read: “We send the EU £350m a week. Let’s fund the NHS instead.” Then I looked at the pinned Tweet for the chief executive of Vote Leave, Matthew Elliott, which reads: “Let’s give our NHS the £350 million the EU takes every week.” These people promised us a unicorn and now claim they merely hinted at the possibility of a Shetland pony.

Well you see it’s like this – saying “Let’s” isn’t a promise, it’s a we-imperative, i.e. a suggestion. Of course most people will read it as a promise of sorts, but that’s how this kind of trickery works – the marks understand it one way, and after all the dust has settled the con artists get to say innocently “but that’s not what we said.”

Let’s go to the beach.



Accused of colluding with the right-wing press

Jun 30th, 2016 11:44 am | By

Also in news from UK / English/Welsh politics today

A Jewish Labour MP has left Jeremy Corbyn’s launch of an antisemitism report in tears after being accused of colluding with the right-wing press.

I watched the video clip in which she leaves and I didn’t see any tears or signs of tears.

…a man handing out leaflets linked to Momentum, an activist group that supports Mr Corbyn, then verbally attacked Ruth Smeeth.

Witnesses said the campaigner accused the Labour MP for Stoke-on-Trent North and Kidsgrove of “colluding” with the right-wing media, after refusing to hand a leaflet to Ms Smeeth and taking down her name.

Ms Smeeth said she was “verbally attacked” and accused of being part of a media conspiracy.

“It is beyond belief that someone could come to the launch of a report on antisemitism in the Labour Party and espouse such vile conspiracy theories about Jewish people, which were ironically highlighted as such in Ms Chakrabarti’s report, while the leader of my own party stood by and did absolutely nothing,” she added.

“People like this have no place in our party or our movement and must be opposed.”

Footage showed the man – Marc Wadsworth –  calling a journalist from the Daily Telegraph a “trouble-maker” after she asked him whether he wanted to apologise.

His press release, claiming to be from Momentum Black Connexions, called for the deselection of Labour “traitors” who are calling for Mr Corbyn to resign in the wake of the EU referendum.

Mr Wadsworth told The Independent he did not know Ms Smeeth was Jewish, adding: “I’ve never been called antisemitic in my life.”

I’m frankly not sure I understand what happened, unless “media conspiracy” is unmistakable code for “Jewish.”



A cold, calculated career decision

Jun 30th, 2016 11:11 am | By

According to Andrew Grice in the Independent (and he’s not the only one), Brexit is all about Boris Johnson’s personal ambition. It’s amazing how just one person can fuck up everything in sight.

In killing Boris’s bid, the Justice Secretary has delivered the justice that Boris deserved. Johnson’s personal ambition got the better of him. He used to tell friends that he wanted to not just run Britain but “the world”; he was only half-joking.

But what a price the whole country has paid for that ambition; our EU membership has probably been sacrificed for it. The Leave camp would probably not have won without Boris as their front man.

“I am not an Outer,” he told some fellow Tory MPs  shortly before coming  out for Brexit. Many Tories – David Cameron included – are convinced it was a cold, calculated career decision. That he didn’t really believe in Brexit, he just believed in Boris. Now, incredibly, Boris has walked away from the scene of his unforgivable crime and left others to clear up the mess.

Oh well. No biggy.



Something as important as the world’s agricultural future

Jun 29th, 2016 5:30 pm | By

107 Nobel laureates have signed a letter urging Greenpeace to stop fighting GMOs.

The letter asks Greenpeace to cease its efforts to block introduction of a genetically engineered strain of rice that supporters say could reduce Vitamin-A deficiencies causing blindness and death in children in the developing world.

“We urge Greenpeace and its supporters to re-examine the experience of farmers and consumers worldwide with crops and foods improved through biotechnology, recognize the findings of authoritative scientific bodies and regulatory agencies, and abandon their campaign against ‘GMOs’ in general and Golden Rice in particular,” the letter states.

The letter campaign was organized by Richard Roberts, chief scientific officer of New England Biolabs and, with Phillip Sharp, the winner of the 1993 Nobel Prize in physiology or medicine for the discovery of genetic sequences known as introns. The campaign has a website, supportprecisionagriculture.org, that includes a running list of the signatories, and the group plans to hold a news conference Thursday morning at the National Press Club in Washington.

“We’re scientists. We understand the logic of science. It’s easy to see what Greenpeace is doing is damaging and is anti-science,” Roberts told The Washington Post. “Greenpeace initially, and then some of their allies, deliberately went out of their way to scare people. It was a way for them to raise money for their cause.”

If that’s why they’re doing it I hope they’re ashamed of themselves…but then they didn’t seem to feel much shame about stomping on the Nazca lines last year.

Nobel laureate Randy Schekman, a cell biologist at the University of California at Berkeley, told The Post, “I find it surprising that groups that are very supportive of science when it comes to global climate change, or even, for the most part, in the appreciation of the value of vaccination in preventing human disease, yet can be so dismissive of the general views of scientists when it comes to something as important as the world’s agricultural future.”

Oh well, it’s only food. I’m sure 7 billion people can easily find something for lunch.



After finishing his rant

Jun 29th, 2016 4:52 pm | By

Another one:

Well now I too have witnessed my very own racist incident. In London. An angry old 6’3″ white man shouting at a BME university lecturer (apparently Muslim, I didn’t bother to ask), and one of his BME students. He didn’t seem to mind much about the white female student.

After finishing his rant about all the Muslims coming over here to impose Sharia law, and being challenged on it, he asked why they’d all done 7/7. At that point we left, which is when he tried to become violent.

‘Glad’ (?) to say I’d got involved in the ‘discussion’ ten minutes before to offer support and will be reporting it to the police. If you find yourself a victim or witness to race hate crimes, you should too.