Jam tomorrow
But will it make a difference? Probably not.
The agreement reached in this glitzy metropolis for the first time nails the role of fossil fuel emissions in driving up temperatures and outlines a future decline for coal, oil and gas. In UN terms that is historic, and the biggest step forward on climate since the Paris agreement in 2015.
But by itself, will this deal be enough to save the “north star” of this COP – keeping temperatures under 1.5C this century? Most likely not.
And that’s not just because of the petrostates.
A key factor in softening the text was the attitude of middle-income developing countries who were very uncertain about the much hyped phased out of fossil fuels. For Nigeria, Uganda, Colombia and others there were complaints that they needed to use revenues from the sale of coal, oil and gas to ensure they could pay for the transition to greener energy.
Colombia complained that by moving away from fossil fuels, credit agencies had downgraded their rating, meaning that international loans to go green would cost them far more.
Humans just aren’t wired to be able to put the future ahead of the present. If you have starving children you’re going to feed them the seeds for next year’s crop.
Climate scientists have always had to fight against an Alice in Wonderland view of the world; this is just another example.
I should be interested to know which are the companies involved in mining and drilling for oil and gas in Nigeria, Uganda, Colombia & other such countries.
Tim, I can tell you Nigeria. Shell is a major driller; Mobile, Texaco, and Chevron are also there. Also Agip.
You should check out Ken Saro-Wiwa, a playwright and businessman in Nigeria, who was hanged by the government because he opposed Shell. He has become something of a symbol in environmental circles.
https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/playwright-and-activist-hanged-in-nigeria