Guest post: Maybe Trump is finally reaching Peak Kanye
Originally a comment by Artymorty on The public is fickle.
I don’t love the media’s reporting about Truth Social because it often misses the bigger picture. The bottom line is that Truth Social was created for one purpose and it succeeded wildly at it: it is a sham product, a vehicle to sell shares on the Nasdaq stock market. How much money Truth Social itself generates or loses as a business enterprise is irrelevant. How many consumers actually use Truth Social is also irrelevant, at least in terms of Trump’s income.
As of this moment, Donald Trump’s 114,750,000 shares in Truth Social are worth $29.60 apiece, for a total of $3,086,775,000. That’s three billion dollars, generated virtually out of thin air — far and away the most profitable venture of his entire life, generating vastly more than his entire net worth was as recently as a few months ago, when he lost that big New York civil suit. Some questions remain about how and when exactly he’ll be able to cash in those stocks and make off with the money, because the moment he pulls the trigger and grabs the cash, everyone else who invested in Truth Social will lose their shirt.
It annoys me when reporters conflate Truth social’s revenue fluctuations with its stock valuation. The company’s revenue figures are in the millions; chump change compared to the stock valuation which is in the billions. They’re on entirely separate planets of relevance, and it’s lazy of journalists to try to build a story by mushing the two together. It’s also lazy of journalists to report of the stock value’s fluctuations as though Trump is losing money. That stock went from $0 to $5 billion in the last six months. In the turbulent in-between days it’s shot up to as high as $9 billion and as low as $3.5 billion. Still, none of those dollar figures represents a loss; that’s all free money for Trump any way you look at it, conjured out of a brazen and illegal stock trading scheme pulled off right in front of the authorities.
Still, it’s interesting that there appears to be less user activity on the website.
It could be simply because there are so many other outlets for Trump worshippers to get their fix now that the election is in full swing. He’s on all the news; he’s doing rallies. They don’t need to log into his little social media feed to keep abreast of the goings on in Trumpworld.
But it could also be a sign his followers are fickle, and are getting bored with the novelty of Trump’s outrageous schtick. Maybe the prospect of four more years of Trump, now that the possibility is closer to becoming a reality, is making people wary.
People used to love Kanye West and they lapped up his crazy, outrageous antics, until they suddenly didn’t. One antic too many gave people a sour taste, and Team Kanye quickly dissolved and scattered. Maybe Trump is finally reaching Peak Kanye.
It astonishes me that the SPAC was ever allowed to go forward with the acquisition, the fraud was so obvious.
Obviously, no one is buying or holding Truth Social for its current earnings. And it is hard to believe that anyone is buying or holding Truth Social for its future earnings (i.e. growth potential). It seems to me that Truth Social is nothing more than a vehicle for people to funnel bribes to Donald J. Trump (by buying the stock). And yet, Truth Social trades on NASDAQ and has a price. So what determines the price?
Well, in order to actually receive those bribes, Trump will have to sell some of his stock at the then current market price. And since the stock does trade on an open market, anyone else who holds the stock will then be able to sell their shares at that same price. So Truth Social stock is a claim on the stream of future bribes sent to Trump, and the current price is the market’s best estimate of the value of that bribe stream.
If Trump is reelected, that bribe stream could well be in the billions (cf. Jared Kushner and the Saudis). If Trump loses, it could be 50 cents and a subway token.