Merry magical thinking
The way it works is, the virus understands that people really really want to get together with family over Christmas so it will declare a cease-fire for five days. The virus is strict, but fair.
Ministers are facing calls to publish scientific advice on the relaxing of Covid-19 rules over Christmas amid warnings that a single infectious guest could infect a third of those at a household gathering.
Under rules revealed by the prime minister on Tuesday, up to three households can form a “bubble” for five days over Christmas. It prompted a raft of scientists to speak out, warning that mixing will inevitably lead to an increase in infections come the new year, leading to deaths. Some said the government should have put greater emphasis on the dangers and potential control measures.
No but see it’s a “bubble,” which is the signal the virus agreed to respect.
Now experts have called for the government to release advice given by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage).
…
Dr Julian Tang, clinical virologist at the University of Leicester, said: “I do not think Sage will have evidence to show that enhanced mixing is going to be beneficial in terms of stopping the virus from spreading, if anything it will increase the virus spread … The reason that the government and Sage are … giving this amnesty of five days is more of a psychosocial, emotional side of what Christmas means to people.”
But the virus gets that, it understands, so it’s agreed to step back for those five days. It’s all arranged.
If you tiptoe, you can sneak around the virus without alerting it. That’s why small gatherings are fine – not much noise.
The ‘reasoning’ appears to be that if you didn’t give everyone terrible advice that is sure to spread covid, everyone would act in an irresponsible way that would spread covid.
The idea of giving everyone good advice that wouldn’t spread covid isn’t something that would occur to this government.
I imagine it’s more a case of “they’ll do it anyways so may as well make them feel better about it” (which is what I think Tang said)…
Sadly, short of being able to pull what China did, that’s probably the best you’re going to get. Natural selection is happening *because* it’s very hard to convince pack animals not to hang out with each other for a year or more.