State of play
The Guardian says Mueller has been amazingly speedy.
Anne Milgram, a law professor at New York University and a former prosecutor and attorney general of New Jersey, said Mueller and his 17 lawyers had done “a terrific job”.
“Months have gone by – people think it’s a long time – it is not in criminal justice,” she said. “He has moved incredibly quickly, got a lot of cooperation agreements, charges, done an extraordinary job of running down Russian hacking of the election.”
Elizabeth de la Vega, a former federal prosecutor for the northern district of California, said: “Complex charges against nearly three dozen people [and] organizations in less than two years is unheard of. Federal investigations may go on for three or four years before charges are brought against a few defendants. Also despite nearly daily false attacks from the president and his allies, the entire team has just kept its head down and done their work.”
The Guardian also says Trump is cornered.
Trump is approaching the midway point in his presidency and, some argue, a point of no return. The recent midterm elections left him wounded, House Democrats are said to be aiming a “subpoena cannon” at every aspect of his life and special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation appears to be nearing its endgame.
“There’s no doubt we’re entering new territory and Donald Trump is in big trouble,” said Larry Jacobs, the director of the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota. “The election results, no matter what he says, were devastating to him. The coalition he put together is clearly strained and he seems incapable of creating consensus.”
Ya think?
the president has been acting like a man cornered. The catalogue is too long to list in full but here are some of the lowlights:
- Trump fired Jeff Sessions and hired Matthew Whitaker as acting attorney general, in what many see as a threat to the special counsel.
- He tried to ban a CNN correspondent from the White House but lost in court.
- He skipped a visit to a military cemetery in France.
- He criticised the admiral who oversaw the raid that killed Osama bin Laden.
- He floated bizarre theories for the wildfires in California, twice referred to the destroyed city of Paradise as “Pleasure” and revelled in ignorance of climate change.
- He referred to the Democrat Adam Schiff as “Adam Schitt”.
- He issued a bewildering statement (633 words with eight exclamation marks) questioning the CIA’s reported conclusion that Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman was responsible for the death of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi.
- His daughter Ivanka was caught using a personal email account for government business.
- He scolded the ninth circuit court of appeals, earning a rare rebuke from the chief justice of the supreme court.
- It was reported that he wanted the justice department to prosecute Hillary Clinton and former FBI director James Comey.
- He authorised troops on the US-Mexico border to use “lethal force”, despite concerns their presence is a political stunt.
None of it’s new but it’s nice to have a handy list.
Trump’s inability to stay silent suggests he has learned nothing from his election drubbing. Other presidents have suffered similar fates in the midterms, only to bounce back and win re-election. But they have done so by making changes and showing humility; when Trump was asked by Fox News to rank himself in the pantheon of great presidents, he awarded himself an A+; when he was asked by a reporter what he was grateful for on Thanksgiving, he talked about himself.
Well, he’s an extreme narcissist. Narcissists don’t do self-correction, let alone humility or apology.
Rick Tyler, a political analyst and Republican consultant, said: “Donald Trump seems like he’s worried about two things. First, he’s clearly worried about the Mueller report. If it was purely a question of ego and whether Russia helped him get elected, this is an overreaction. There’s something else going on.
“Second, if you analyse Saudi Arabia and the Khashoggi incident, what Trump says makes no sense. Saudi Arabia is not going to cancel contracts and only has a negligible impact on the cost of oil and gas. Yet Trump promoted the awful cover story. He’s hiding something. There’s something there. He’s not protecting the crown prince; he’s protecting himself.”
Third, there’s that lawsuit against the Trump Foundation.
This is what I keep trying to tell a young friend of mine, who is convinced that Mueller has found nothing because it has been so long. I keep explaining that things like this take a long time. I told him about Watergate, which I lived through and he didn’t, and which drug on for quite a long time, and would have been longer probably if Nixon hadn’t resigned.
He (my friend) seems to see it in the same way as a scientific experiment, but I don’t know what gives him the idea that those happen quickly, either. Some of them take many years to get to fruition, and are very frustrating along the way. i suppose, when you’re 25 and everything has always gone the way you planned it, you might not understand those things.
Your friend needs to listen to the All The Presidents Lawyers podcast. Ken White (of Pope Hat) is constantly saying the Federal investigations take years to methodically build. He says it’s not uncommon for the Feds to tell one of his clients that they are about to be charged, and then 12-18 months go by before that occurs.
https://www.kcrw.com/news-culture/shows/lrc-presents-all-the-presidents-lawyers
Once Mueller’s report comes out, I wonder if any congessional Republicans will be shocked – shocked! at the degree of Trump’s illegality, and jump ship, or will they all nail their colours to themast and go down with him. If Trump can be discredited enough in the eyes of Republican voters (if that’s even possible; for some, Trump eating babies live on television wouldn’t turn them off him), it could reduce the threat of sitting Republican Senators being primaried by Trumpists enough to let them vote against him. I certainly wouldn’t count on it, but if supporting Trump were to actually become a political liability, they might opt for self preservation. One can hope…
Perhaps the most impressive thing is how leak-proof the Mueller team has been. That hasn’t been a given in the past — the Starr investigation leaked like a sieve as an intentional strategy to hurt Bill Clinton. And Mueller has had to put up with all manner of attacks without trying to respond in kind.
Assuming Trump doesn’t win re-election, I think a lot of Republicans will disown him. We’ll hear about how he was never really a Republican anyway donchaknow, he was a lifelong Democrat and Bill and Hillary were at his wedding, and I never really liked him anyway, I only supported him because of the judges and the tax cuts….
I just started listening to this podcast this morning:
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2017/11/introducing-slow-burn-slates-new-podcast-about-watergate.html
The creator starts out by saying something like ‘the movie All the President’s Men ends with a montage of news headlines and announcements that take about a minute and a half; in reality they covered two years.’