10,000 football fields each hour
The northern half of the planet is bursting into flames in many places, and in a few months it will be the southern half’s turn. We’re seeing the stories, but the stories aren’t disturbing our slumbers by mentioning the underlying mechanism. David Wallace-Wells considers what the reasons for that may be.
In a single week earlier this month, dozens of places around the world were hit with record temperatures in what was, effectively, an unprecedented, planet-encompassing heat wave: from Denver to Burlington to Ottawa; from Glasgow to Shannon to Belfast; from Tbilisi, in Georgia, and Yerevan, in Armenia, to whole swaths of southern Russia. The temperature of one city in Oman, where the daytime highs had reached 122 degrees Fahrenheit, did not drop below 108 all night; in Montreal, Canada, 50 died from the heat. That same week, 30 major wildfires burned in the American West, including one, in California, that grew at the rate of 10,000 football fields each hour, and another, in Colorado, that produced a volcano-like 300-foot eruption of flames, swallowing an entire subdivision and inventing a new term — “fire tsunami” — along the way. On the other side of the planet, biblical rains flooded Japan, where 1.2 million were evacuated from their homes. The following week, the heat struck there, killing dozens. The following week.
In other words, it has been a month of historic, even unprecedented, climate horrors. But you may not have noticed, if you are anything but the most discriminating consumer of news. The major networks aired 127 segments on the unprecedented July heat wave, Media Matters usefully tabulated, and only one so much as mentioned climate change. The New York Times has done admirable work on global warming over the last year, launching a new climate desk and devoting tremendous resources to high-production-value special climate “features.” But even their original story on the wildfires in Greece made no mention of climate change — after some criticism on Twitter, they added a reference.
Why? Ratings. News outlets have to make a living, and it seems that we’re happy (and I mean that literally) to watch fires and hurricanes but not to hear talk of climate change.
As I’ve written before, and as Wen Stephenson echoed more recently in The Baffler, climate change is not a matter of “yes” or “no,” not a binary process where we end up either “fucked” or “not fucked.” It is a system that gets worse over time as long as we continue to emit greenhouse gases. We are just beginning to see the horrors that climate change has in store for us —but that does not mean that the story is settled. Things will get worse, almost certainly much, much worse. Indeed, the news about what more to expect, coming out of new research, only darkens our picture of what to expect: Just over the past few weeks, new studies have suggested heat in many major Indian cities would be literally lethal by century’s end, if current warming trends continue, and that, by that time, global economic output could fall, thanks to climate effects, by 30 percent or more. That is an impact twice as deep as the global Great Depression, and it would not be temporary.
They’ll get worse and they’re already horrific. The hurricanes and fires last summer were horrific and very expensive; if things keep getting worse this fast or in fact faster, we won’t be able to keep up. Maybe part of the reason the media don’t talk about that is because…you know, what do you say? “We’ve got maybe a couple of decades left and that’s it? And in the meantime a lot of us are just plain going to fry?”
Television networks covered those heat waves 127 times. That is, actually, a very lot! They just utterly failed to “connect the dots,” as Emily Atkin put it incisively at The New Republic —broadcasters told the story of the historic temperatures, but chose not to touch the question of why we were seeing so many of them, all at once, with the atmosphere more full of carbon, and the planet hotter, than it has ever been at any point in human history.
When you think about it, this would be a very strange choice for a producer or an editor concerned about boring or losing his or her audience — it would mean leaving aside the far more dramatic story of the total transformation of the planet’s climate system, and the immediate and all-encompassing threat posed by climate change to the way we live on Earth, to tell the pretty mundane story of some really hot days in the region.
Yes but some really hot days with fires or people dropping dead are immediate, while climate change is long-term and complicated.
At any rate, the real point is, it looks as if the doom brought by climate change is happening a lot faster than most of us expected.
Yes, and I continually hear my students talk about how difficult it is when we’re not feeling any of the effects. We have had a summer where we turned on the air conditioning in May – in Nebraska. We used to be able to survive without AC until nearly July in Oklahoma. We have been having droughts, heat waves, aquifer depletion issues, and people still say “Nope, not feeling it here…maybe if we felt it here, we could believe it”. They choose not to see it here…and nowhere else matters to them, because they are here.
This little table of Global Mean Sea Level rise rates from various major scientific organisations says a whole lot:(disputed, objected to and yelled at by coal-fired industry shills of course).
GMSL Rates
CU: 3.4 ± 0.4 mm/yr
AVISO: 3.3 ± 0.5 mm/yr
CSIRO: 3.3 ± 0.4 mm/yr
NASA GSFC: 3.4 ± 0.4 mm/yr
NOAA: 3.2 ± 0.4 mm/yr (w/ GIA)
See also the accompanying graph at http://sealevel.colorado.edu/
Meanwhile, Trump wants the scientists shutdown and put out of business. As do his fellow carbonic troglodytes worldwide.