Not a president but a poltergeist
Jane Chong and Benjamin Wittes at Lawfare say it’s time.
The evidence of criminality on Trump’s part is little clearer today than it was a day, a week, or a month ago. But no conscientious member of the House of Representatives can at this stage fail to share McConnell’s doubts about Trump’s fundamental fitness for office. As the Trump presidency enters its eighth month, those members of Congress who are serious about their oaths to “support and defend the Constitution” must confront a question. It’s not, in the first instance, whether the President should be removed from office, or even whether he should be impeached. It is merely this: whether given everything Trump has done, said, tweeted and indeed been since his inauguration, the House has a duty, as a body, to think about its obligations under the impeachment clauses of the Constitution—that is, whether the House needs to authorize the Judiciary Committee to open a formal inquiry into possible impeachment.
It’s not a hard question. Indeed, merely to ask it plainly is also to answer it.
I keep thinking it’s surprising that Republicans aren’t more eager to get rid of him than anyone else, for the same sort of reason that I especially hate him as an American. So much that’s wrong with Trump has little to do with political views but is instead mostly about what he is as a person. I say “little” as opposed to “nothing” because I think some of his terrible qualities are more compatible with being a Republican, but that’s a minor point. The major point is that I think his hideous moral character should be repulsive to anyone who holds public office. I would think Republicans would want to dump him as soon as possible because he’s ruining the brand.
In our view, Congress should be evaluating at least three baskets of possible impeachable offenses. There is a good deal of overlap between these classes of misconduct, but they are sufficiently distinct to warrant individual attention:
- his abuses of power, most obviously exemplified by his conduct with respect to the investigations into his campaign’s collusion with Russia;
- his failures of moral leadership; and
- his abandonment of the basic duties of his office.
At the extreme, each type of misconduct not only denigrates the presidency but also fundamentally undermines the security of the United States.
The security and so much else – the reputation, the standing, the credit. We dented the bejezus out of all of those during the Cold War, overthrowing lefty governments and installing right-wing dictators all over the place, but we still had some.
They go over a lot more detail, and then get to the issue of just plain not doing the job.
The most obvious kind of abandonment boils down to failure to make appointments, a task critical to ensuring the executive branch’s efficacy and accountability. To date, most key executive branch positions remain empty and their nominees unnamed seven months into the Trump presidency, including those he is legally obligated to fill; to date, 62 percent of the almost 600 positions that require Senate confirmation lack a nominee. Even while threatening “fire and fury” against nuclear North Korea and threatening military action in Venezuela, Trump has deliberately gutted the State Department, leaving the country rudderless on the world stage.
Count us as skeptical that delays in making appointments could become a stand-alone basis for impeachment, except in the most egregious cases of blatant refusal, and the macro numbers in any event indicate Trump, while behind, is not wildly out of range of his modern predecessors. There is a far more ominous form of delinquency Congress must consider, and that is abandonment as an outgrowth of Trump’s extreme incompetence. He is sufficiently deficient in judgment and discretion that he requires perpetual, and very public, babysitting; in many respects, he appears to have relinquished the job, but his advisers also live in constant fear of what will happen if he shows up to do it. Political scientist Dan Drezner has even been keeping a tally of times Trump’s advisers are quoted talking about him as though he were a toddler. In fact, the only way to mitigate the damage Trump has proven capable of doing, particularly in the foreign policy arena—whether by way of an improvised threat to North Korea, Venezuela or Mexico or an an indefensible tweet at odds with his own administration’s diplomatic objectives—is for his advisers to counteract him, either by downplaying him or flat-out contradicting him. The result is not a president but a poltergeist, who does little more than make noise and threaten damage. He has all but abandoned the office for purpose of substantive leadership and governance, but is sufficiently present to make a mess. At some point, surely that amounts to more than “maladministration” but to the “gross and wanton neglect of duty” that Black described.
One would hope.
The Republicans ruined their own brand decades ago, when they went after the racist vote and the religious vote. So now they are afraid to offend those voting groups, since that’s about all that they have. And impeaching Trump would offend those groups.
Trump’s not ruining the Republican brand, he’s the embodiment of it! If your purpose is to ruin people’s trust in their government, eliminate the government’s regulatory ability to protect people, and ultimately loot the treasury either directly or by privatizing government functions, then you’re a Republican. And Trump’s your man. The fact that he does all this with big servings of bigotry and misogyny is icing on the cake for the party of authoritarians, evangelicals, neo-Nazis and the KKK.
I think the not-too-racist religious bloc could stomach impeaching him well enough – he’s already someone they have to be obvious hypocrites to support, and they’d get their darling Pence as President out of the deal. I do think they prefer, all else being equal, to seem less racist and to appear less hypocritical. It helps them maintain some credibility with other people of faith and less regressive politics, for instance.
The voter base aspect is important, but another angle – related, of course – is that impeaching him on the basis of things that were clearly going to be the case since the beginning of the ’16 campaign means admitting either that the Republican Party is unwilling to stop incompetent nation-wrecking robber-baron megalomaniacs from being their standard-bearers or that they think that’s okay til the poltergeist takes it just a little too far. They have to own up to being wrong, and when they’ve got a political image based on dogmatic clarity of governmental philosophy and “common sense”, that’s even harder than for anyone else.
Jeff, I think it’s much more practical than that.
As of the November 2016 elections (i.e. ignoring the special elections that have happened since), there were 241 Republicans in the House.
How many of them would you guess won their general election races by less than 5%? By 10%? The answers are 5 and 15, respectively.
That really warps the incentives. The vast majority of Republican House members aren’t going to lose their seats unless: (1) there’s a swing of more than 10% in the next general election; or (2) they lose a primary. #1 is pretty hard — even granted that the party in power tends to lose seats in the midterms, and Trump is historically unpopular, that’s still a big swing, especially considering the recent trend of Democratic voters not showing up for midterms. So the real worry for Republican House members is #2. If you make a move to oppose Trump, or even criticize him a bit, let alone vote for impeachment, you’re going to draw a primary challenge from a Trumpalo in your district, and you could lose.
Now, of course, it could be that Republicans in the House will do what is best for the country rather than act in their own self…. ha ha, no. Just kidding. There is zero chance of that happening.
It is, I suppose, possible for a rump faction of Republican rebels to team with the entire Democratic caucus. According to an article I just read at the lawfareblog, articles of impeachment can be forced to a vote via a discharge petition signed by a majority of House members. But even getting that smaller number of Republicans on board is a challenge, especially if impeachment is just going to die in the Senate anyway. Senators tend to be a little more vulnerable in general elections, but the dynamics aren’t all that different.
Trump is the inevitable outcome of 4 decades of Republican policies. He’s their Frankenstein monster, their Mr. Hyde, and they’re stuck with him.
On Donald Trump being the logical conclusion of decades of right-wing/Republican rhetoric, I think Jon Stewart’s take on it is particularly insightful.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Da5VYSPsoE0&t=265s
(The portion discussing the issue starts at around 4:25, but Stewart really gets into it around 6:25)
Karellen #6, in the very same interview you’re linking to, Stewart dismissed Hillary Clinton as having no principles. I think he should have thought harder before making that statement, and I personally don’t plan to forgive him for it. People listen to him, and that comment probably swung some votes in November 2016.
‘… I especially hate him as an American.’
As do I. But, we’re stuck with a ‘progressive’ movement that hates America even more than Trump does.
@Cressida #7, Yeah, but that doesn’t automatically invalidate everything else he’s ever said.
IMO, he’s a smart guy, who generally punches up to both the right and the left when he thinks that it’s necessary, who has often demonstrated great insight, and has a fantastic knack for getting to the heart of a matter and communicating that with real clarity.
That said, I don’t always agree with everything he says. Sometimes he has opinions that I don’t agree with, and sometimes he makes genuine mistakes of fact. Sometimes, rarely, he can be kind of an asshole.
But to me, that’s OK. Having opinions I disagree with, making the occasional mistake, or even indulging in a bit of assholery, is not something that’s going to make me stop paying any attention to someone ever again, or to start disregarding everything they’ve ever said. It just means I need to think critically about what they say, rather than devoutly accepting everything that passes their lips without question. Which is what I try to do for anything anyone says. Sure, some people are worth listening to more than others, but not that many are worth completely dismissing out of hand.
Karellen #9:
I didn’t say any of that. I said I didn’t plan to forgive him for remarks he made in the video you linked.
@latsot #10. Ah, sorry. I thought there was an implied “therefore I’m never paying attention to anything he says ever again” there, with a tiny hint of “and you shouldn’t too”, only because that’s been the intended point of similar comments I’ve read elsewhere on the web written by other people.
If that implication wasn’t there, and that’s not the point you were trying to make, fair enough. My bad.
Except…. now I’m not sure what point you were making?
#11, I’m not latsot. My point is that Jon Stewart’s comments on the 2016 presidential election are, in my opinion, pretty suspect. It was clear that the options were going to be Clinton and Trump: and even if he lambasted Trump, the fact that he dismissed Clinton as having no principles in the very same speech definitely communicated to his supporters that he felt there was an equivalent badness between Clinton and Trump. I’m certain that that communication resonated with his viewers, and I’m certain that those viewers convinced their neighbors that a vote for Clinton was a vote for the evil status quo. So I partially blame Stewart for our current president. In that context, it’s pretty difficult for me to appreciate Stewart’s Trump dissing.
#12 – not latsot – huh? *scans back* WTF?
Yeah, ignore me. Not only do I make suspect inferences that turn out to be totally unsupported, but it looks like I can’t even keep track of who I’m having a conversation with. I’ll just toddle off and find a dunce cap or cone of shame, and go stand in a corner for a bit…
Hahaha don’t worry about it Karellen – it’s easy to lose track.